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Why "The Prediction Markets" Did Not Get UK Elections Wrong

  • …  by Hubertus Hofkirchner -- Vienna, 12 May 2015 “Everyone, including all the prediction markets/betting exchanges, got the UK 2015 vote prediction wrong.” Prediction markets are an often …
  • Prediction Markets: A Better Alternative

  • …  markets. Political stock markets have been known to produce significantly better quantitative predictions compared to telephone and online surveys. Innovative prediction market technology can now also …
  • Prediction Markets dazzle audience at ESOMAR Congress 2014

  • …  by Hubertus Hofkirchner -- Vienna, 12 Sep 2014 At this year’s annual congress of ESOMAR, the world-wide organisation of market research firms, Jon Puleston of GMI/Lightspeed and I presented …
  • Управление путем прогнозов

  • …  the UK Election Wrong Vienna, 12 May 2015 Prediction markets are an often misunderstood mechanism, so when even leading market researchers inadvertently lump prediction markets together with betting …
  • Management by Predictions (Prediki Blog in English)

  • …  the UK Election Wrong Vienna, 12 May 2015 Prediction markets are an often misunderstood mechanism, so when even leading market researchers inadvertently lump prediction markets together with betting …
  • The Shrinkflation Fallacy: How Mondelez could have avoided wasted effort

  • …  it must be a good marketing tactic. Or is it? Are consumers really too stupid to notice? Cadbury, a Mondelez company, recently shrank their chocolate bar without reducing its price commensurately, hoping …
  • Corporate Innovators' Risk Reward Dilemma

  • …  unused, collecting dust in some drawer. Very often nothing changes on the back of research, as O2 UK researcher Nick Milne reports. A study’s true measure of success is its influence on better client …
  • How to Detect Response Fraudsters

  • …  invisible indicator of respondent fraud. Even the art and value of market research itself may be questioned after blatantly wrong results, like the recent poll failure in the UK. Raising Suspicions …
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  • …  enough to tell us what you did not like, you can help us to improve the platform for all other participants. Information for Market Researchers, Opinion Researchers and Futurists Nowadays, professional …
  • Prediki Support

  • …  picture top right, and then the study. There is no phone number needed at this point, only for payouts. Sorry for that. I sent you an email with a link. If you "follow" that topic (market …
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